Why the US Government is Unlikely to Buy Bitcoin in 2025, According to Galaxy Digital Research Head

The Buzz Around Bitcoin and Institutional Adoption

As Bitcoin continues to solidify its position as a store of value and hedge against inflation, speculation about institutional and government adoption has grown louder. With companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla holding significant amounts of Bitcoin, the question of whether governments, particularly the United States, will follow suit has been a topic of heated debate.

However, according to Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, the US government is unlikely to purchase Bitcoin in 2025. This statement comes as a sobering reality check for Bitcoin enthusiasts hoping for mass adoption at the federal level.

Why the US is Not Ready to Embrace Bitcoin

Thorn outlines several key reasons why the US government may hold off on buying Bitcoin in the near future:

1. Regulatory Uncertainty

Despite progress in crypto regulations, the landscape remains fragmented. The SEC, CFTC, and other regulatory bodies continue to grapple with how to classify and regulate cryptocurrencies. This lack of cohesive regulation presents a significant barrier to direct government investment in Bitcoin.

2. Bitcoin’s Volatility

While Bitcoin’s price has shown resilience over the years, its inherent volatility raises concerns for risk-averse entities like the US government. As Thorn highlights, the potential for drastic price swings makes Bitcoin an unreliable asset for a treasury that prioritizes stability.

3. Dollar Dominance

The US dollar remains the global reserve currency, and the government has little incentive to weaken its own monetary system by embracing Bitcoin. Thorn points out that any movement toward Bitcoin could signal a lack of confidence in the dollar, potentially triggering unintended economic consequences.

4. Political Resistance

Bitcoin adoption carries political implications, with lawmakers divided on the role of cryptocurrencies. Some view Bitcoin as a tool for financial innovation, while others associate it with money laundering and illicit activities. This political gridlock further reduces the likelihood of government Bitcoin purchases.

What This Means for the Crypto Market

While the US government’s hesitation to buy Bitcoin may seem like a setback, it could pave the way for private institutions and individual investors to lead the charge. The growing interest from hedge funds, family offices, and publicly traded companies continues to drive demand and price appreciation.

Moreover, Thorn’s analysis doesn’t rule out the possibility of Bitcoin playing a significant role in the financial ecosystem—just not at the government level in 2025.

Final Thoughts

Alex Thorn’s insights remind us that Bitcoin’s journey to mainstream adoption is far from over. While the US government may not be ready to buy Bitcoin by 2025, the evolving narrative around digital assets suggests that broader acceptance is inevitable.

For now, investors and crypto enthusiasts should focus on the growing influence of private sector players and the continuous advancements in blockchain technology. The road ahead may be long, but the momentum is undeniable.